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Analytic Partners Recognized as a Leader in Inaugural Gartner® Magic QuadrantTM for Marketing Mix Modeling SolutionsIt’s not 2016 again. President-elect Donald Trump is off to a strong start with markedly fewer obstructions than the last time he won. In football terms, he has a lot of green space ahead of him. In nautical terms, it’s plain sailing. In political terms, it might not be a honeymoon, but no one is throwing any furniture, either. Naturally, there are all sorts of potential pitfalls. Some of Trump’s more controversial cabinet picks could, if confirmed, blow up once they are in place (does anyone believe that RFK, Jr.’s tenure at Health and Human Services will be smooth and uneventful?). Republicans only have two votes to spare in the House. Events will take a hand, and so will Trump’s mercurial nature. We are in a much different place than eight years ago, though. When Trump won in 2016, the shock to the system was so great that the body politic reacted strongly and reflexively. Trump was treated as a virus and every antibody attacked him, from activists in the street to the director of the FBI. This time, the reaction is much more muted. Despite all the fevered warnings of an existential threat to democracy, when former top Kamala Harris advisers did an election post-mortem on the podcast “Pod Save America,” they talked about how they could do better next time — in other words, there will be a next time. Despite the insistence of his enemies that Trump can’t be “normalized,” he’s been an inescapable fixture of American politics for about a decade now, with at least another four years ahead (he could well continue to dominate the Republican Party even after his second term ends). Like it or not, Trump is mainstream. He shows up at those most American events — football games and MMA fights — and gets applause. He eats McDonald’s. He himself is part of the pop culture. The time, unlike in 2016, there were no protests after he won the election, or any effort to get so-called faithless electors to keep him from assuming office. There is no cloud of illegitimacy over his victory. He won more convincingly than in 2016, carrying the popular vote and denying his opponents the opportunity to say he only won via the technicality and anachronism of the Electoral College. There has been no widely believed conspiracy theory — spun out of vaporous nonsense and hysteria — that his victory was the result of collusion with a hostile foreign power. Relatedly, this time Trump doesn’t have a bogus investigation hanging over his head. The Russiagate probe blighted the initial years of his first term. Now, the legal decks are clearing. Whereas Special Counsel Robert Mueller was about to enter the stage after Trump won in 2016, Special Counsel Jack Smith is exiting it. As Trump enters office a second time, he is going to be less legally encumbered than he’s been in years. In 2016, Trump got elected despite a catastrophic unfavorable rating in the polling. This time, he was closer to a break-even favorable/unfavorable rating in some pre-election surveys, and he’s ticked upward since. In a recent CBS poll, 59% of people said they approve of his transition. If in 2016 it felt like Trump faced a stiff head-wind at the outset, this time he has the wind — or at least a pleasant breeze — at his back. Trump is already looming much larger than the incumbent president who, with the exception of the pardon of his son, has nearly disappeared. When Biden shuffles off the stage he won’t, like Hillary Clinton , be complaining that Trump stole the election from him. If Biden is going to be bitter about anything, it will be about the machinations that denied him a Democratic nomination that he had already won. None of this means that Trump is guaranteed success in the crucial first two years of his presidency. But the conditions favor him in a way they decidedly didn’t eight years ago. Twitter: @RichLowry
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Mayor Eric Adams and Deputy Mayor for Public Safety Chauncey Parker announced a pilot program Monday that strategically targets high-crime streets in a multi-agency effort to address longstanding needs and problems. The program, dubbed Every Block Counts, was launched in October with a specific focus on residential blocks within two NYPD precincts known for having the highest number of violent crimes, in particular shootings, over the past five years. The pilot program targets five blocks within the 46th Precinct in the Bronx— which covers the neighborhoods of Fordham, University Heights, Mount Hope and Morris Heights—and several streets in Brooklyn’s 73rd precinct, which covers Brownsville and Ocean Hill. The blocks in the Bronx include Morris Avenue, Elm Place and Walton Avenue; meanwhile the program covers Bristol Street, Christopher Avenue, Dumont Avenue, Lott Avenue and Mother Gaston Boulevard in Brooklyn. The program coordinates efforts among various city agencies, including police, fire, parks, sanitation, transportation, buildings, health and more. In the announcement, Adams pointed to results achieved thus far, including zero shootings in the two targeted areas over the past 56 days, as well as the completion of 111 out of 146 quality-of-life problems identified by the communities. The 46th precinct has seen a rise in shootings and murders since last year, according to NYPD CompStat data. In 2023, there were 42 shooting incidents, 53 shooting victims and 13 murders in the 46th precinct. So far this year, there have been 49 shooting incidents, 64 shooting victims and 25 murders. ‘Remarkable’ progress The mayor spoke from Bean Morris Community Garden near Morris Avenue and Grand Concourse — named for resident Carrie Cuthbertson’s son Devon, nicknamed Bean, who was shot and killed nearby in 2019 at age 24. Cuthbertson, who said she has long been active in her community, has now become a “Block CEO” with Every Block Counts, acting as a liaison between the community and city agencies. As part of the program, she has been working with fellow residents on a list of neighborhood safety and quality of life concerns. Recent progress under the program has been tangible to her and her neighbors, she said. “For the first time in years, we saw rapid improvement. The transformation was nothing short of remarkable,” said Cuthbertson. A Halloween event with treats for hundreds of neighborhood kids, funded by donations, was a recent example of how the community has united and improved, she said. “ Our streets are now clean, graffiti is gone, trash is picked up, and the area feels brighter and more inviting. Most importantly, we feel safer.” Council Member Pierina Sanchez, whose district office is nearby, said she has experienced ducking bullets in the area while pregnant with her first child. Just 4% of the city’s blocks are the site of almost all shootings, she said, and the program acknowledges that “ the 4-6 [Precinct] is different than the rest of the City of New York.” While Sanchez said she does not always agree with Adams, she applauded the pilot program, calling it an example of “partnership despite differences and progress despite obstacles.” Assembly Member Yudelka Tapia recalled the alarming shooting deaths in September of three people within blocks of each other in the Burnside area. Since the launch of Every Block Counts, she said she has not received any emergency calls from the precinct captain. “This fight is for us to have, and let’s do it, let’s win it,” she said. The mayor said given these early positive results across the 10 focus blocks of the pilot, he plans to expand Every Block Counts to more locations. Adams, who has expressed frustration at the lingering perception of a rise in crime in the city, said the program is part of the comprehensive effort to address both crime and quality-of-life concerns, and his office issued a new report on various initiatives aimed at decreasing crime throughout the city. Reach Emily Swanson at eswanson@schnepsmedia.com or (646) 717-0015. For more coverage, follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram @bronxtimes
She was at the scene within 20 minutes A washed-up dolphin drew crowds of anxious onlookers to Llandudno promenade as marine medics battled to save its life. The bloodied dolphin left many distressed as it was tended to at a nearby prom shelter. Medics made the decision to euthanise the young dolphin following an operation that lasted almost nine hours. As well as suffering multiple injuries after Storm Darragh, the dolphin was found to have an "underlying condition". Perilous sea conditions during the storm also prevented any attempt to refloat the dolphin. The Llandudno Coastguard rescue was first on the scene at around 10.45am on Sunday, December 8, after being alerted by members of the public. Volunteers from British Divers Marine Life Rescue (BDMLR) were also called to Llandudno’s North Shore beach following reports of a dolphin stranded near the water’s edge, North Wales Live reports . By the time they arrived, they found the animal had been moved back into the water by well-meaning members of the public. Gem Simmons, BDMLR North Wales rescue coordinator, said stranded animals - seals, whales, porpoises and dolphins - should always be left untouched on the shoreline. She said: “The initial report described the animal as a porpoise. Given the stormy conditions, we assessed whether it was safe to attend. Ths incident was considered urgent, so a team was gathered. “First team member there, within 20 minutes, was a volunteer doing her Christmas shopping. She liased with the Coastguard until other medics arrived. Unfortunately the dolphin had been placed back in the sea. Being ill, it needed to strand but it was struggling to reach the shore again as it wasn’t strong enough. “We knew it would eventually make it to shore but it was buffeted by the surf for almost an hour before it managed to do so. As the tide was coming in, and because the large waves were throwing rocks, we decided to move the dolphin to a promenade shelter so the medics could get to work safely.” The animal was a young common dolphin. It was found to have deep cuts to its tail, beak and above both eyes. It wasn't overly thin but BDMLR diagnosed an underlying illness that had left it weak and in need of resting up on land. Anxious passersby gathered to watch and they were asked not to share photos or videos as it fought for its life. Local businesses kept the rescue team supplied with hot drinks. The rescue brought mixed emotions for those watching on. “Couldn’t believe my eyes when I saw a dolphin on the prom today!” said one woman, not realising the circumstances. “That must have been one heck of a wave!” Others, seeing blood pouring from the injured animal, said they found it “quite upsetting”. Two more marine mammals were also reported stranded at Prestatyn, Denbighshire, over the weekend. One was on the beach near the Nova Centre, the other on the resort’s promenade by the Beaches Hotel. An adult female harbour porpoise was also washed ashore in Prestatyn during Storm Bert a fortnight ago. Last week, a dead stranded porpoise was found on the beach at Deganwy, Conwy. Gem said options to refloat Llandudno’s dolphin were explored. North Shore beach was considered unsuitable for an operation that can take up to an hour. “We need a gently sloping beach – and not 10ft waves!” she said. Options to relocate the dolphin to another beach were considered. But none within the maximum allowable 30-minute radius were suitable in the stormy conditions. “Given that the dolphin had twice stranded, the extent of its injuries and its underlying condition, the decision was taken to put it to sleep,” said Gem. "It’s probable the injuries were caused as the animal was tossed in the surf. "Putting stranded animals back into the sea is not helpful. Dolphins and porpoises are not fish, they can stay on land for some time if they are made comfortable.” The carcase was collected by Natural Resources Wales and is being held in cold storage pending collection by Wales-based Marine Environmental Monitoring (MEM). Port-mortem analysis helps shed light on the state of Britain's seas. Gem thanked Llandudno for its support during the rescue operation. “Everyone was fantastic,” she said. “We were offered teas and coffees throughout the day and everyone was very helpful and respectful. "We asked people not to post photos and videos on social media as we wanted to protect the dolphin’s dignity until she drew her final breath. Other than one TikTok video, this request was observed, so I’d like to thank Llandudno’s residents for their support.”
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